15 comments

  • JumpCrisscross 1 hour ago
    “To simplify greatly, the strategy of non-violence aims first to cause disruption (non-violently) in order both to draw attention but also in order to bait state overreaction. The state’s overreaction then becomes the ‘spectacular attack’ which broadcasts the movement’s message, while the group’s willingness to endure that overreaction without violence not only avoids alienating supporters, it heightens the contrast between the unjust state and the just movement.

    That reaction maintains support for the movement, but at the same time disruption does not stop: the movements growing popularity enable new recruits to replace those arrested (just as with insurgent recruitment) rendering the state incapable of restoring order. The state’s supporters may grow to sympathize with the movement, but at the very least they grow impatient with the disruption, which as you will recall refuses to stop.

    As support for state repression of the movement declines (because repression is not stopping the disruption) and the movement itself proves impossible to extinguish (because repression is recruiting for it), the only viable solution becomes giving the movement its demands.”

    https://acoup.blog/2026/02/13/collections-against-the-state-...

    • injidup 7 minutes ago
      > the only viable solution becomes giving the movement its demands.

      This interpretation reeks of Western naivete. Students were not merely arrested — they were gunned down en masse in the streets and even in hospitals. They were provoked by the U.S. president, who promised support to take on the institutions, but that support never materialized. The likely endgame of this current gunboat diplomacy is similar to Venezuela: the U.S. secures resource access while leaving the existing system intact, and the student protesters are hunted down. In other words, nothing changes for the people demanding reform.

    • akiselev 58 minutes ago
      The book Brett uses as his main source, Waging A Good War, is an incredible book that I strongly recommend. It treats the Civil Rights movement as a military campaign and analyzes it from the perspective of a military historian.

      Not in the sense that it was viewed as a war by the protestors, but in the sense that the logistics, training, and operations of the Civil Rights movement were a well oiled machine that looked like a well organized, but nonviolent, army (including counterexamples where there was no organization).

      • mothballed 56 minutes ago
        [flagged]
        • Erem 49 minutes ago
          What, since released, internal memos or journals from mid-century civil rights leaders have revealed that destroying the constitution was their objective? Seems like a stretch.
          • mothballed 47 minutes ago
            I believe the civil rights leaders themselves were mostly genuine. I think they were used as useful idiots on a couple instances to support the two most destructive policies of the US.

            (1) Secession. This was used for evil in the form of slavery. But it is the most powerful check of federal power by the states we had. The fact it could be used for evil did not mean it is better to get rid of it.

            (2) Expansion of the interstate commerce clause to mean basically anything. A main argument for why this can't be reversed is that it would destroy the civil rights acts, which acts upon even intrastate business. Rather what should have happened is 15th amendment should have been written to apply to private entities as well, instead of blasting away the interstate commerce clause.

            • kryogen1c 29 minutes ago
              Im certainly sympathetic to #2 being one of the greatest unconstitutional practices of the modern US government, but is its genesis really the civil rights movement? There were many settled cases about interstate commerce before the Civil rights act, like Gibbons v. Ogden.

              https://www.britannica.com/money/commerce-clause/Interpretat...

              • mothballed 18 minutes ago
                You're absolutely right -- it's not really the genesis per se on #2, just one of the modern weapons used. Civil rights act is one of the main weapons used today to explain why we can't wind back interstate commerce clause, creating a sort of legal suicide pact where the interstate commerce clause interpretation is held hostage if you want to keep your civil rights. That is, the CRA was arguably one of the most important things for double sealing the deal on progressive era expansion of the ICC.

                Many times here on HN I have debated people who were well versed on constitutional law, and when I mention rolling back the interstate commerce clause one of their main go to is that they're afraid I will destroyed the CRA and that's why they can't do it. And they're right -- a nearly identical on many points CRA happened in 1875 as the one passed in 1964. The 14th and 15th amendment existed at both times, and the relevant points of the constitution stayed the same. Yet the latter was found constitution and the former was not, in large part due to the change in the meaning of the interstate commerce clause.

            • zozbot234 28 minutes ago
              (2) is not a problem if you enact equivalent civil rights acts in every state. There would be plenty of political support for doing this today, including in the Sunbelt - which there wasn't in the 1950s.
              • Erem 20 minutes ago
                I think “equivalent” would be the challenge here. When people need to know at all the nuances of what bathroom and restaurants they’re allowed to use, and what train cars when business or pleasure takes them across state lines it becomes a pretty large tax both for the individual and for interstate commerce at large
                • zozbot234 16 minutes ago
                  The bathroom issue is especially silly. Just mandate that public restrooms have to also include gender-neutral single-occupant bathrooms, that anyone can use as they desire.
                  • Erem 10 minutes ago
                    Yes, but then achieving that mandate across the country becomes O(N) of states, all within the low bandwidth legislation process of state houses. Much simpler to just do it at the federal level, and still legitimately justifiable wrt interstate commerce imo
            • Erem 27 minutes ago
              With that framing, aren’t those two outcomes detrimental side effects of achieving the objective, rather than the objective itself per your original comment?
        • SpaceL10n 39 minutes ago
          Freedom means freedom to exclude and alienate at the government level? Is that your argument? I can see your hypothesis, but I don't see your evidence.
        • santoshalper 53 minutes ago
          Pound for pound, Hacker News has the best bad takes anywhere. This is an absolutely terrible take, but at least it's very interesting.
          • SirFatty 43 minutes ago
            I'd recommend Slashdot...
            • Loughla 23 minutes ago
              The difference is there's a chance that they're trolling on slashdot. HN are genuine bad takes by intelligent people, I believe.
    • regularization 1 hour ago
      > non-violence

      Armed Baloch and Kurdish groups have been boasting of firing on Iranian police. The police are firing back. Hard to call them non-violent when they openly boast about armed attacks. Who knows where they are getting their weapons, with western countries also openly declaring their intent to destabilize Iran.

      • brookst 1 hour ago
        But also weird to say that the tens of thousands of student protestors are actually violent because totally different people in a different part of the country are armed.

        Two things that can both be true: the Iranian regime is fundamentalist and authoritarian and massively abusive to its people, and also western countries are continuing their long history of meddling and funding separatist and terrorist groups with the goal of regime change and establishing a client state (because that worked out so well with the Shah).

      • Aromasin 1 hour ago
        The key part is that there are multiple insurgencies going on simultaneously. There are separatist movements that are looking to create new nations states, while simultaneous there are non-violent protests ongoing, generally looking for regime change and a move away from extremists religious tendencies. Both can be true simultaneously.
        • regularization 1 hour ago
          > separatist movements

          The Kurds had their own state at the end of World War II - the US and UK forced them to dissolve and integrate with Iran.

          Actually the US just abandoned the Kurds in Syria two weeks ago as it signed deals with Syria's former al Qaeda leader.

          Kurds are people the West foments to armed rebellion, and then quashes, for decades, depending on western material needs at the minute.

          • whatever1 1 hour ago
            Kurds are getting abandoned by the west on a weekly basis for the past like century. It's insane what these people have have gone through,still no resolution.
          • philwelch 26 minutes ago
            Wikipedia describes it as a “a short-lived Kurdish self-governing unrecognized state in present-day Iran” and “a puppet state of the Soviet Union”. Doesn’t really count as a free and independent state.
          • logicchains 1 hour ago
            >The Kurds had their own state at the end of World War II - the US and UK forced them to dissolve and integrate with Iran.

            The Kurds were also supposed to have their own state at the end of World War 1, but western countries abandoned them and didn't force Turkey to honour its obligations, leaving Turkey free to genocide them just like it did the Armenians, Assyrians and Pontic Greeks.

            • mothballed 1 hour ago
              They effectively had their own state in Rojava up until a few weeks ago, and KRG (Iraq) is pretty damn close to a state, it's basically a state in everything but recognition as the immigration, defense, and law system is almost entirely separated. When I lived Rojava, Assad had zero influence, the military and police and borders were entirely separated, there was zero chance you were going to experience the force of law ofthe state of Syria anywhere you went. The state of Rojava dissolved due to tactical loss of alliance with Arab militias when the rebels retook Damascus. I would characterize their recent loss of state in Syria had more to do with being surrounded by Turkey and dependence on wish-wash arab allies than it had to do with the US or UK.
      • JumpCrisscross 1 hour ago
        > Armed Baloch and Kurdish groups have been boasting of firing on Iranian police

        “…it is important to note that while the overall framework of these two approaches is the same their tactics are totally different and indeed fundamentally incompatible in most cases. Someone doing violence in the context of a non-violent movement is actively harming their cause because they are reducing the clear contrast and uncomplicated message the movement is trying to send. Likewise, it is relatively easy to dismiss non-violent supporters of violent movements so long as their core movement remains violent, simply by pointing to the violence of the core movement. It is thus very important for individuals to understand what kind of movement they are in and not ‘cosplay’ the other kind” (Id.).

        The core protest is strategically and factually a non-violent protest. It is ringed by armed insurgencies. They undermine each other.

        > Who knows where they are getting their weapons, with western countries

        Nobody has a monopoly on weapons supply to the Middle East. If you want to seriously interrogate this line of questioning, try to learn what weapons they’re using.

      • Wytwwww 1 hour ago
        > with western countries also openly declaring their intent to destabilize Iran

        As opposed to standing idly by when the regime 'stabilizes' the country by murdering thousands of people? It's well past the stage where non violent protest or resistance stopped being a viable option..

        • justsomehnguy 18 minutes ago
          Dear American, kindly solve your own internal issues first and then - maybe - you can talk on how to "help" some other countries on the literal other side of the world TYM.
        • santoshalper 50 minutes ago
          Not really. We absolutely have the option to let things play out in Iran and refuse to intervene. There are many regimes in Africa that are as bad or worse than Iran. We seem to have little interest in "regime change" there. You should think about why not.
          • Wytwwww 38 minutes ago
            Well it's not black and white. Sometimes doing the right thing even if you have ulterior motives is better than doing nothing.

            Africa is tricky due to historical reasons, though. Any western power that would intervene there without the explicit invitation of the local government would be accused of neo-colonialism etc.

          • philwelch 20 minutes ago
            How many of those African regimes sponsor terrorism and piracy against Americans, or adopt “death to America” as a motto?
          • hunterpayne 25 minutes ago
            Those African regimes don't spend billions a year to promote and fund terrorism in other countries. Remember kids, you can kill millions of your own people (Stalin, Mao, etc) and nobody will care. Heck, some will even celebrate you. But don't mess with people in another country, otherwise outsiders will get involved. Iran is the main source of violence and terrorism in the most violent part of the world. Maybe, just maybe your fake moralizing isn't helping.
            • mikkupikku 2 minutes ago
              Iran has committed or contributed to virtually zero terrorism in America. The American people have no legitimate beef with Iran, America is just acting as Israel's rabid attack dog.
          • mupuff1234 40 minutes ago
            Because those countries are not trying to become a global power, with potential nuclear weapon, ICBM and drone capabilities along with a strategic location?

            And all while making "death to america" part of their national slogan.

        • pydry 40 minutes ago
          >As opposed to standing idly by when the regime 'stabilizes' the country by murdering thousands of people?

          Do you demand an invasion of Israel? Because your moral principles seem to demand an invasion and subjugation of Israel.

          • JumpCrisscross 14 minutes ago
            > your moral principles seem to demand an invasion and subjugation of Israel

            There is absolutely no requirement for consistency in geopolitics. Advocating for a position on e.g. Gaza or Iran isn't undermined because that person isn't expending equal efforts on injustice in another theatre.

            • roughly 6 minutes ago
              > There is absolutely no requirement for consistency in geopolitics.

              There is in morality, though. The US is a state, but you are a person.

      • don_esteban 1 hour ago
        Just think about would have happened if protesters in USA shot and killed 150 policemen. Protesters which foreign states (China or Russia) openly boasted they are supporting, and provided them with weapons and communication technology.
        • Erem 33 minutes ago
          Not quite at the level, but Jan 6 is similar. 174 officers were hospitalized, protesters were coordinating over Telegram, and Russian state owned media employees actively ran influence ops to support maga, though especially after the event (not quite “openly boasted”)

          The result: nothing of consequence happened because the faction they supported eventually won and was/is legitimately popular

        • Wytwwww 52 minutes ago
          So there are no circumstances where armed rebellion is justifiable and the only legitimate type of resistance to state violence is literally trying to drown the state forces in bodies of non-violent protestors?

          At a certain point there ceases to be a middle path between violent resistance and complete surrender.

          > Protesters which foreign states (China or Russia)

          This type of relativism is dishonest. Of course US is speed running the path to authoritarianism but its not quite there. e.g. morally it would be perfectly acceptable to support weapons to protestors in Russia and not the other way around.

          The Iranian regime is objectively evil, period. Regardless of what honest or dishonest motives foreign actors might or might not have.

          • don_esteban 38 minutes ago
            Uh, sorry, no. At the moment you start arguing by 'The Iranian regime is objectively evil, period', you have totally lost the plot.

            The statement 'The USA regime is objectively evil, period' is much more justifiable. Measured, e.g. by the number of people it has killed (both directly, and indirectly by sanctions and support for brutal dictators - e.g. Pinochet, but also Saddam while he was waging war with Iran).

            Meddling in internal affairs of other countries has a terrible track record, the world would be so much better off without it.

            Armed resistance most often leads to a damn bloody affair in which everybody is worse off, unless the state is already so rotten that it has no will to fight for itself. Supporting such resistance just means more life losses, both on the resistance and on the state side (typically, much more on the resistance side). Hence, the true aim is not to help the resistance, but to weaken the state. No consideration for the life of the local people, the show (the grand game) must go on!

            • JumpCrisscross 13 minutes ago
              > Meddling in internal affairs of other countries has a terrible track record, the world would be so much better off without it

              Wishing away "meddling" is on par with wishing away war. Nice in theory. Practically impossible in practice. (Sovereignty has a Schrödinger's element to it. You really only know you have it when you test its boundaries. And the only test of sovereignty is against another sovereign. The world is littered with sovereigns meddling in each others' affairs and those who aren't sovereign.)

          • pydry 41 minutes ago
            >So there are no circumstances where armed rebellion is justifiable

            What circumstances has Iran created that demand armed rebellion?

            • reliabilityguy 4 minutes ago
              I think beating women on the streets for refusal to wear hijab contributes to dissatisfaction of the populace with the government.
            • weatherlite 11 minutes ago
              How about killing 30k people (vast majority unarmed as far as I can tell) in a week or two?
            • mupuff1234 33 minutes ago
              Economic collapse, failed infrastructure, lack of human rights, ruthless religious dictatorship? All while spending 25% of their budget on military ventures.

              Just to name a few.

              • pydry 27 minutes ago
                The economic suffering has largely been inflicted deliberately by US sanctions.

                This would seem to suggest that sinking an aircraft carrier and frigate or two would actually be justified according to your principles?

                • reliabilityguy 3 minutes ago
                  > The economic suffering has largely been inflicted deliberately by US sanctions.

                  Which were imposed for work on atomic bomb. These sanctions didn’t come out of the blue.

        • energy123 11 minutes ago
          The US and Iran are very different countries. You can't just fix one variable to be the same in a hypothetical and expect us to nod along as if this reveals any insight. It's a shitty rhetorical tactic.
        • sheeshkebab 49 minutes ago
          Do you mean Maga?
      • libertine 5 minutes ago
        This is a bit confusing, isn't Iran actively trying to destabilize Western countries?

        Like for example supporting Russia genocide in Ukraine? As far as I know Ukraine had no qualms with Iran, why is Iran helping it's destruction?

      • alephnerd 1 hour ago
        The Baloch movement is orthogonal to the students movement.

        Jaish al-Adl would continue bombing Iranian police stations regardless of who's in power in Tehran as long as India maintains operational control of Chabahar Port, Chabahar-Zahedan Railway, and INSTC.

        Similarly, the BLA and BNA would continue bombing Pakistani police stations regardless of who's in power in Islamabad/Pindi as long as China maintains operational control of Gwadar Port, the Western Alignment expressway, and CPEC.

        Iran is de facto non-existent in much of Sistan-ve-Balochistan. Heck, Urdu/Hindi fluency remains the norm in much of Iranian Balochistan as a large portion of Iranian Baloch continue to have family ties across the border in Pakistan, work with their brethren in the Gulf as migrant workers, or travel to Karachi, Quetta, or India for medical, religious (most Iranian Baloch are Deobandi), and education services.

        • selimthegrim 45 minutes ago
          There is some crossover otherwise agencies wouldn’t have killed Sabeen Mahmud.
          • alephnerd 43 minutes ago
            There is a lot of crossover.

            Heck, one of our old neighbors growing up was a Iranian Baloch-Pakistani Baloch couple and according to them Baloch marriage across the border was extremely common. And Uzair Baloch had ties to both Iranian and Indian intelligence [0].

            The Iran-Pakistan and the Iran-Afghanistan border is very porous because of how isolated Sistan-ve-Balochistan and much of Khorasan is from the rest of Iran.

            [0] - https://herald.dawn.com/news/1153754

      • wetpaws 32 minutes ago
        [dead]
      • mothballed 1 hour ago
        I don't think it's as simple as the Kurds starting the violence, though, except in KRG where they now have autonomous territory that's mostly left alone, the other 3 nations Kurds lived in have lived with systemic violence against them (sometimes to the extent of banning their languages, sometimes more like genocide). Like most of the ME engagements, untangling who is firing back at who ranges from difficult to impossible to untangle depending on what situation you are looking at.

        > Who knows where they are getting their weapons, with western countries also openly declaring their intent to destabilize Iran.

        When I fought in the YPG (Kurdish militia in Syria), almost all the weapons were Russian / USSR block type weapons, though the AK were stamped with the symbol of many soviet block countries.

    • stickfigure 47 minutes ago
      This seems to only have a good track record in places with a democratic tradition. Some dictators have figured out you can just imprison and kill the opposition, and keep doing this until there is no more opposition.

      The Khomeini government is not going to just say "oh, you're right" and change. Neither will the Kim or Putin governments. Sometimes - sadly - violence is the least worst answer.

      • don_esteban 33 minutes ago
        Re: Sometimes - sadly - violence is the least worst answer.

        The least worst for whom?! For normal Iranian people who just want to leave their life?

        I hate my current government. Do I think an armed uprising or a USA bombing campaign would would improve things? Heck NO!

    • philwelch 32 minutes ago
      This works against relatively liberal governments. It didn’t work for the Tiananmen Square protestors in 1989 or for the intermittent Iranian protestors of the past couple decades because those regimes were willing to suppress those protests with overwhelming force. Fortunately, the Iranian protestors are likely to have some overwhelming force on their side soon.
    • SilverElfin 24 minutes ago
      I thought the state’s supporters were actually very large in number and the dominant force in Iran. After all past protests, like about the woman who was disappeared and killed, were smaller and were suppressed quickly. What changed? Is it demographics - like are there larger numbers of young people who aren’t for a theocracy?
    • skybrian 1 hour ago
      Good article.

      It seems like a consequence is that publicity outside Iran is only going to be effective to the extent that it mobilizes people inside Iran?

      (With the possible exception of getting Trump's attention, but I don't think air strikes are going to do it?)

      And the government of Iran seems very willing to kill people.

      I don't see this ending well.

      • zozbot234 58 minutes ago
        According to betting exchanges air strikes on Iran are quite unlikely in the very near term, but become more likely than not by this summer or the end of the year. So this doesn't seem to be a matter of near-term attention, more of a prediction that the Iranian government will not manage to shift their stance in a more favorable direction.
        • treis 29 minutes ago
          There's been a massive movement of air assets towards Iran over the last week or so. That doesn't necessarily mean a strike will happen but it's clearly a threat.
      • JumpCrisscross 58 minutes ago
        > With the possible exception of getting Trump's attention

        Or Tel Aviv, Rihyadh, New Delhi or any other one of the hosts of Iran’s adversaries and enemies.

        > the government of Iran seems very willing to kill people

        I find it helpful to decompose states as monoliths in these cases. Besides attracting an intervention, the purpose of such a protest would also include motivating state elements to attempt a coup.

        • alephnerd 48 minutes ago
          Riyadh (along with the rest of the Gulf) and New Delhi are quietly lobbying against some sort of American action, as could be seen with India very recently choosing to switch their UN vote on Israeli settlements from abstaining to against. And the KSA+UAE quickly signing mutual defense pacts with Pakistan+India (reduces their risk of being striked during a US-Iran War as well as forcibly prevents Pakistan and India from entering another war after Operation Sindoor).

          TLV (already know) and Islamabad are lobbying the US in favor of striking the regime, as can be seen with the prominence Asim Munir, Muhammad Aamer, and Asim Malik in acting as a backchannel and unofficial advisers to the US on Iran under the Trump admin as well as Netanyahu's continued lobbying for a stronger response to Iran for decades.

          • JumpCrisscross 9 minutes ago
            > Riyadh (along with the rest of the Gulf) and New Delhi are quietly lobbying against some sort of American action

            Nobody wants missiles flying over their homelands. At the same time, both goverments have been supportive of America's non-proliferation work in Iran.

            My broad point is there are plenty of folks who may be open to covertly supporting the protesters beyond America blowing blowing god knows what up.

    • close04 1 hour ago
      The theory is always easy. The role of agitators since the beginning of times was to preempt the premise of “non-violence”. They will infiltrate a protest and fire the first shots in the most visible way possible to justify a reaction in force. The controlled media will focus on those images, protesters throwing molotovs, firing guns, attacking law enforcement.

      That recipe is the theory of the ideal case. If it were that simple authoritarian regimes would be a thing of the past. But those regimes have played the game longer than most protesters have been alive. That’s why these movements barely make a dent even with covert outside support.

    • mschuster91 24 minutes ago
      > As support for state repression of the movement declines (because repression is not stopping the disruption) and the movement itself proves impossible to extinguish (because repression is recruiting for it), the only viable solution becomes giving the movement its demands.

      Public support for the Iranian state has been around zero among the population for years now, the problem is that the Iranian government has probably 2-3 million of armed governmental agents (from police over regular military to IRGC/Basij) [1] and is just about as willing to compromise as the CCP was and is ever since Tiananmen.

      In fact, I would say what we've seen from Iran the last weeks (credible sources say around 35k deaths) is even more deaths than in the 1989 China protests which had a death toll of (worst case estimated) 10k.

      Against that level of fanatical, money- and religion-driven bloodlust, there is no chance of successful protests, not without serious external aid shifting the power balance. And in the case of Iran, that is the US and Israel wiping the mullahs out of this world, or causing them enough trouble so that the leadership accepts an offer to escape to Moscow alive.

      Let me be clear: I despise both Trump and Netanyahu. But this is, IMHO, the one and only chance these two men have to assist a just and rightful cause for once.

      [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46884956

  • Betelbuddy 1 hour ago
    I cant imagine the courage that is needed to take part in these protests. Most here, the most revolutionary act they will ever participate on in their life, is criticizing their boss choice of Azure as cloud provider...
    • pcurve 52 minutes ago
      I couldn’t do it. Much respect for them. In the 80s when Korea was under quasi military regime, there were many street protests. Molotov cocktails and tear gas being exchanged. Some killed, many beaten down by riot police. Most were led by students.
    • SilverElfin 26 minutes ago
      Yep. I think in America most would be scared of what ICE and DHS would do to them. Hard to imagine facing off an authoritarian militaristic government.
    • CommanderData 29 minutes ago
      Courage to fulfil Israel's wishes, and then be bombed out of existence by Israel once they have served their purpose.

      Iranians are related to Arabs at the end of the day and we've seen how they get treated in Gaza/West Bank heck even Epstein and co said the quiet part out loud.

      • thomassmith65 8 minutes ago
        The two nations had good relations until 1979, which is a problem for this person's world view.
      • gambutin 26 minutes ago
        Iranians are not "just" Arabs. They speak their own language called Farsi, which has Indo-European roots. Their culture is overall very different and goes back before Islamic conquest of Iran.
        • hunterpayne 8 minutes ago
          Iranians aren't Arabs at all. Most Arabs are Muslims but even then, they are a different type of Muslim. KSA and Iran go at each other all the time. The GP is really off base here.
    • pphysch 15 minutes ago
      Is it courage or desperation? There obviously is no liberal democratic utopia waiting for them on the other side. Iran will be turned into another Libya, Syria, or Gaza, like the rest of Israel's adversaries. Enormous human suffering so that a fake biblical prophecy can be fulfilled.
  • Roark66 21 minutes ago
    I applaud their bravery in remaining non violent, but I'm not sure that is the best strategy as the state showed their willingness to just kill everyone.

    Would organising an armed resistance be more effective? The state dissappears people. Have them organise and dissappear the leaders of the revolutionary guard or at the very least help another state (like Israel) to target them.

    Non violence works only in democracies and other systems where the rulers care about what people think.

    • AnimalMuppet 16 minutes ago
      Nonviolence works where the rulers have a conscience (or at least where those who carry out the rulers' will do).

      Would armed resistance be more effective? How many guns can they get their hands on? I don't know the answer to that, but my expectation is, not many. (I am open to correction.)

      • lich_king 12 minutes ago
        > Would armed resistance be more effective?

        I mean, with dictators, that's usually what it comes down to. But it often takes years or decades of unrest and repression before someone with enough guns decides they want to be on the right side of history.

        It's a fascinating if morbid process we go through every now and then... sort of, building consensus by sacrificing livelihoods and lives.

        Iran is one of the most oppressive regimes remaining on this planet, so I really hope this does it. The problem is that revolutionary governments are usually not dumb and do their best to make sure that another revolution can't overthrow them too easily - hardline loyalists with benefits in the military, etc. So this probably ends with a military intervention by other countries or some other sequence of events that will spell even more misery.

        The whole history of the Iranian revolution is pretty wacky. It's easy to take a knee-jerk position that "the West did it", and we definitely set some pieces in motion, but Iran wasn't really hurting prior to the revolution, which is why it caught everyone by surprise. The shah made a number of political missteps, there was some sentiment against the UK and the US, but almost no one wanted a theocratic dictatorship instead.

  • tolerance 1 hour ago
    The irony of this submission’s proximity to another titled “Attention Media ≠ Social Networks” cannot escape me.

    Balance cannot be restored until a whimsy Show HN appears Monday afternoon followed by an LLM EDC by a high profile FOSS developer the following day and then rounded out by a “cozy web elegy” come Hump Day.

  • smashah 11 minutes ago
    Hopefully the Iranian government doesn't take a page out of the US Epstein regime playbook and start trampling on students free speech for daring to speak against their mass Holocaust and baby bloodletting in Gaza and shooting protestors dead on the streets.
  • josh_today 25 minutes ago
    [dead]
  • gurumeditations 1 hour ago
    [flagged]
  • kelipso 1 hour ago
    [flagged]
    • jjtwixman 42 minutes ago
      Silly comment, in this case reporting facts about protests is indistinguishable from "manufacturing consent".
      • kelipso 36 minutes ago
        This article is made for a certain crowd, with a certain type of gullibility. Since the nypost has a different audience, we get to see a bit of comedy like this “Iranian forces hack out wombs of female protesters to hide horrific sexual abuse: report” (1). Babies in ovens (2) will be next right?

        1. https://nypost.com/2026/02/20/world-news/imprisoned-iranian-...

        2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nayirah_testimony

        • inglor_cz 32 minutes ago
          When we speak about gullibility, under what conditions would you accept the idea of atrocities committed by a non-Western regime as real?

          You seem to have a massive prior for "everything is a Western/Zionist conspiracy full of puppets". Which is its own sort of gullibility, readily exploited by propagandists from the other side.

    • amelius 56 minutes ago
      Will not happen as several important Arabic countries are against it.
      • chucklenorris 43 minutes ago
        Last i've heard the Sofia international airport had to close because US airplanes stopped there for refuelling
      • don_esteban 51 minutes ago
        Want to bet?

        The opinion of its 'allies' is regularly ignored in Washington...

  • regularization 1 hour ago
    [flagged]
    • lalaland1125 1 hour ago
      Of course. Nobody has any agency except British, American and Israeli people.

      Every protest, every independent action, literally every single news story ... is directly due to British, American or Israeli action.

      • bad_haircut72 1 hour ago
        > Me demanding "Who is funding this protest!!?" when my wife asks me to do the dishes
      • rolymath 1 hour ago
        In that case we should allow foreign governments to advertise on Facebook whatever they want and not be concerned about them swaying voters.
    • lokar 1 hour ago
      Are you arguing the protests did not happen? That they did not happen as reported? That they did happen as reported, but it should not have been reported?

      What is your point?

      • mattmaroon 1 hour ago
        Look at their comments. They’re almost certainly a Russian propaganda account, or someone who has been brainwashed by them.
        • ycombinete 58 minutes ago
          The z in the username feels like a clue.
    • cucumber3732842 1 hour ago
      I always found it kinda tragic (in the greek literature sense) how Ike's ability to partner well with the British was both the source of his ascent and the biggest black mark on his legacy.
    • myko 1 hour ago
      Same vibes as folks whining about the US being behind Euromaidan in Ukraine (the US was not).

      Nope, folks, people really do not like being oppressed or lied to, and will on occasion let you know that in dramatic fashion.

    • appreciatorBus 1 hour ago
      Ok but what if Marx was wrong?
  • Razengan 1 hour ago
    Sorry about the whataboutery but it's "funny" how chaos in non Western-allied countries gets so much coverage, even when it doesn't affect us, but shit like the people of France's New Caledonia trying to get independence doesn't:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6S1AFh88PE

    I didn't even know about that, just that it was a beautiful place and looked it up one day to fantasize about a potential future vacation, and saw that news.

    So Iran may have nukes and is beating up its own people.. If the coverage keeps ramping up, the news cycle echoes of Iraq and Libya all over again. Maybe Trump's planning to make it a trilogy

    • Betelbuddy 1 hour ago
      You mean France's New Caledonia who already had three! referendums, and three times voted to remain part of France and has a new one planned for 2026? That one?

      Or is it something else going on there?

      When China knocks at the door of New Caledonia - https://www.aspi.org.au/report/when-china-knocks-door-new-ca...

    • halflife 1 hour ago
      Saying that the actions of the Iranian regime doesn’t affect western nations is like being in a burning building, saying that the fire in the floors below doesn’t affect you.
      • mvdtnz 56 minutes ago
        Iran is totally and completely irrelevant to the lives of the vast majority of people in the West.
        • hunterpayne 6 minutes ago
          Iran is the major cause of political instability in the the ME. They are the primary funders for the 3 most active terrorist groups in the ME if not the world. Every single westerner pays more for things because of the instability Iran funds.
    • Wytwwww 48 minutes ago
      > but shit like the people of France's New Caledonia trying to get independence doesn't

      They had 3 referendums since 2018. So it seems nobody is stopping them from leaving if they wanted to...

    • watwut 1 hour ago
      Like, there is a lot of killing going on over there, so an article about it here and there is not "funny" nor "weird". It is not just "chaos".
  • Atlas667 1 hour ago
    Many are protesting because of the sanctions, considered war crimes, imposed by the west onto them.

    The US and its allies have attacked the currency and the availability of goods for the common Iranian. This is how regime change works. This is what is happening in Cuba as well. You starve and disenfranchise the average person to make regime change by internal bad-actors more successful.

    Therefore many citizens protest against their conditions, not against their government. The misconstruing of this reality is intentional and an essential part of war mongering.

    We understand this and we are smarter than the BBC thinks we are. Now ask yourself why must young Americans in the armed forces put their lives on the line for this?

    • icegreentea2 48 minutes ago
      I think it's right and honest to admit that this is one of the methods that sanctions are supposed to work. But it's also not the only method - and framing the intent as inducing "regime change by internal bad-actors" is also a very slanted way to articulate intent, as well as what is happening on the ground.

      On the other hand, without being on the ground, we cannot really say what the real balance of grievances are.

    • OrangePilled 1 hour ago
      [dead]
    • don_esteban 1 hour ago
      Funny that this is downvoted. I guess its not fitting the mainstream 'feel good about ourselved, bad, bad, Iran' narrative. Just have a look at Besson's Davos interview.
  • webdoodle 1 hour ago
    So the mods at HN allow us too read about other countries protests, but not in the U.S.? I guess if all those illegal immigrants had oil, it'd be okay?
    • appreciatorBus 1 hour ago
      99% of the moderation at HN is just the accumulated actions of your fellow readers who upvote, downvote, flag and vouch for stories and comments. If you don't like their choices or their politics, maybe try Bluesky?
      • Betelbuddy 23 minutes ago
        >> 99% of the moderation at HN is just the accumulated actions of your fellow readers who upvote

        This is false, and even the moderators admit it

        https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46396613

        • appreciatorBus 7 minutes ago
          > So the mods at HN allow us too read about other countries protests, but not in the U.S.? I guess if all those illegal immigrants had oil, it'd be okay?

          > Despite how dark and sinister you've made everything sound, you've mostly just rephrased what I wrote, with a lot of pejoratives. In that sense, you're right—there isn't much disagreement here. You just think we're wrong and bad to run HN the way we do, and that's fine.

          There’s nothing wrong with someone not liking how HN is run. It’s just weird to complain about it, on HN no less, when there so many other sites already run by people who share your politics, sites where you would feel welcome and you wouldn’t have to invent scary stories about the ulterior motives of moderators.

          HN’s attempt to focus makes it special, unique and valuable. Turning it into a general political free for fall like every other site would destroy that.

  • Rover222 1 hour ago
    May Iranian Islamic regime fall one way or another, and let the true Persian culture flourish again.

    Not that I'm a political activist, but I'm constantly disturbed that all my friends who posted non-stop about supporting Palestine have NEVER made one mention of supporting the Iranians protesting that regime.

    I get that they were in theory protesting the US support of Israel, and the Iran situation is different, but... it seems like western liberals refuse to speak up against any Islamic regime. Or something like that.

    Why are they always taking the side of the most oppressive, conservative cultures? I say this as a disaffected democrat, not a MAGA person.

    • dataflow 1 hour ago
      > Not that I'm a political activist, but I'm constantly disturbed that all my friends who posted non-stop about supporting Palestine have NEVER made one mention of supporting the Iranians protesting that regime.

      There are many extremely significant differences between the situations Iranians and Palestinians have been in. The only similarity you're looking at is the number of deaths, it seems. But Iranians and Palestinians have emphatically not been in even remotely comparable situations for the past half-century.

      Not claiming a bias is necessarily absent or present. Just that there are many rather obvious explanations for the discrepancy you're noting besides that.

    • Archio 1 hour ago
      We (the US) just bombed Iran last summer. We are moving the largest buildup in decades of armament and materiel to Iran's doorstep RIGHT NOW, and it seems extremely likely we are about to bomb them again.

      What exactly do you want to happen here? In your view, am I taking the side of the Ayatollahs because bombing isn't enough and we should be nuking Tehran instead?

      It's telling that perceived tacit support of an Iranian regime — which America is more hostile to perhaps more than any other nation on the planet — is more disturbing to you than the deaths of 20k+ children in Gaza.

      • nsvd2 24 minutes ago
        It's possible, of course, to oppose the Ayatollah as a dictatorial regime and oppose excessive American intervention.
      • Rover222 51 minutes ago
        I'm saying if you were a very vocal pro-Hamas activist, but have not made a peep about the thousands of Iranians recently murdered by their regime, that's disturbing to me.

        That crowd only seems to care if they can actively oppose Israel or the current administration. They don't consistently care about any particular type of human suffering. Just opposing Zionists, colonizers, capitalists, and whatever current keywords are activated.

        • dataflow 32 minutes ago
          > all my friends who posted non-stop about supporting Palestine

          > I'm saying if you were a very vocal pro-Hamas activist

          Palestine ≠ Hamas

          Pro-Palestinian ≠ Pro-Hamas

          If you genuinely don't believe a significant number of people support the former but not the latter, I... don't even know what to tell you. It certainly says a lot that you can neither distinguish these two nor believe anyone else sees a distinction.

          > They don't consistently care about any particular type of human suffering. Just opposing Zionists

          People are not numbers for your narrative.

          Whether on a population chart or on a death chart.

          Again: you're ignoring more than half a century of history and extremely relevant differences regarding how each got into their current situations, whom the involved parties were, what the current situations even are, and what their futures might look like... and more.

          Just because the number of deaths appears to have reached a similar order of magnitude that does not mean anyone who fails to display the same reaction to the situations the two groups of people have been in is a hypocrite.

        • Archio 40 minutes ago
          >That crowd only seems to care if they can actively oppose Israel or the current administration

          Can you think of any motivating reasons for the crowd to focus on Israel specifically? Last I checked, the American government isn't sending billions of dollars of weaponry and political cover to the Iranian government, so that is one massive reason why protesting Israel makes more sense.

          >have not made a peep about the thousands of Iranians recently murdered by their regime

          I don't protest to signal my moral outrage, I do it to effect change in my elected leaders. It's not my responsibility to devote an equal amount of attention to every injustice — ignoring the cause and effects in that injustice with direct connection to politicians beholden to me — because people like you will find it "disturbing".

          • Rapzid 21 minutes ago
            > ...disturbed that all my friends who posted non-stop about supporting Palestine...

            > I'm saying if you were a very vocal pro-Hamas...

            See how quickly things have turned from the first post manufactured to seem reasonable? No more "Curious" and "just asking questions".

            How many pro-Hamas friends can a person have?! I don't know a single pro-Hamas person myself.

            I believe you are being taken for a ride friend.

        • pydry 31 minutes ago
          >I'm saying if you were a very vocal pro-Hamas activist

          "Pro hamas activist" has become the calling card of deeply committed western and israeli islamophobes.

          Much like their close cousins, the holocaust denying anti semite, they almost universally refuse to recognize the UN recognized genocide in gaza.

          >That crowd only seems to care if they can actively oppose Israel or the current administration

          Im sure if the current administration backed a genocide in another country they would passionately oppose that too. Unlike dedicated islamophobes, anti racists are consistent.

    • conception 1 hour ago
      Generally in global politics if you are just killing your own people everything is cool. People don’t really get into it until you cross borders.
      • Rover222 1 hour ago
        People seemed to care about the Myanmar and Chinese genocides. Muslim victims. Non-muslim oppressors.

        But Central Africa, Venezuela, Iran, Cuba, etc? Extreme suffering. But the activists don't activate.

        • dataflow 43 minutes ago
          Re: Myanmar, a large part of the reason "people seem to care about" what happened in Myanmar appeared to be the role Facebook played in it. How often did you hear about it in a context that wasn't about tech and the role of social media?
        • Wytwwww 45 minutes ago
          > Myanmar

          Did they? It was occasionally in the news but that's about it.

        • pydry 13 minutes ago
          Activists tend to care most when it is their government participating in inflicting the suffering.

          The people taking a dump on those activists for how they "allocate" their activism not only dont care about the suffering their government participates in, they usually cheer it on.

          This can be seen the most clearly in the case of the gazan genocide.

    • georgeburdell 1 hour ago
      My impression is that protests in the West are largely MAGA aligned and focused more on regime change. Totally different target audience. Observe “MIGA” slogans and Trump’s face in this video from Los Angeles

      https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=20T6XrrLdiA&pp=ygUYbG9zIGFuZ2V...

      Edit: Also, the Left seems to more often pick sides when its one ethnic group oppressing another, as identity politics is prominent in their messaging

      • dataflow 1 hour ago
        If anything it feels more surprising that the foreign protests aren't getting more coverage. They've been huge, it seems.
        • georgeburdell 46 minutes ago
          Inside Iran the message is similar: get Donald Trump’s attention. And the stated goal of the action is to reinstall the Shah as the head of a caretaker government who pinky swear promises to let the people choose how they want to be governed. This is problematic for civic minded Westerners for obvious reasons.
      • Rover222 1 hour ago
        I think if Biden was taking a lot of the same actions the Trump admin is taking, people would support it a lot more (Venezuela, Cuba, Iran, maybe even Gaza).

        Of course then the right would be protesting foreign interventions.

        • dataflow 37 minutes ago
          > I think if Biden was taking a lot of the same actions the Trump admin is taking, people would support it a lot more (Venezuela,

          If Biden repeatedly shot boats that he alleged carried drugs without evidence and then shot survivors again for good measure until he eventually went and captured Venezuela's de facto head of state, people would support him a lot more? Really?

    • weakfish 1 hour ago
      Idk, I’ve never seen any left wing folks actively support the Iranian regime. I think the difference is what you noted, the US support for Israel vs. intervention in Iran.

      I, and many I know, would love to see the Iranian regime fall, just not via US regime change which tends to make things worse.

      • Rover222 1 hour ago
        Yeah I see anyone actively supporting the Iranian regime, just that they're apparently not interested in the cause of the people protesting and being massacred.

        I think it's just an instinct to oppose anything the current administration supports. Same with Cuba and Venezuela.

        But it consistently aligns them with some of the most suppressive regimes.

        Venezuelans are glad Maduro is gone. Iranians want the US to do something. Lots of Cubans as well.

        • Rover222 1 hour ago
          * don't see anyone actively supporting
      • Galaxeblaffer 54 minutes ago
        One big thing your missing is that there simply is no way imaginable that a regime change can happen without the US, it's simply impossible at this stage. I can certainly understand why many if not most Iranians want the US to intervene, it's simply the only way regime change is ever going to happen.w
        • Rover222 49 minutes ago
          Same with Venezuela. Latin America could have acted for decades. But nothing ever happened.
        • weakfish 34 minutes ago
          I don’t necessarily contest that, but I also wouldn’t trust the current administration to be the ones to succeed in that undertaking in a way that promotes lasting peace in the country/region. And no, I wouldn’t trust Biden/Obama/Bush either.
        • don_esteban 18 minutes ago
          I have lived through regime change in Eastern Europe in 1989. A year before the change, one cannot imagine the regime change. And yet, it did happen. Bloodlessly (except Romania).

          Any external meddling would have probably made it much bloodier.

          You can be assured most Iranians do NOT want US to intervene. How many Americans want China/Russia to intervene to 'help' you get rid of Trump?

          Get off your high horse and use a bit of empathy and common sense.

      • Archio 45 minutes ago
        That's because most left wing Americans don't support the Iranian regime.

        People that ask "where are all the students on campus that were protesting Gaza" do so because taking action on injustice, in a way that demands accountability from their leaders, is an uncomfortable idea. For them, the purpose of taking action is largely to signal moral outrage, and making an aggrieved post on social media is the beginning and end of praxis on an issue. And if that is your mindset, why wouldn't you make an equal amount of posts about Iran as you would for Gaza? Since they are both Things That Are Morally Bad.

        What they don't understand is that for people that e.g. protest in person, protesting isn't a quaint, feckless action merely meant to signal one's care about an issue to the right people. Rather, it is an action with a goal to effect specific change of behavior on a particular issue from a specific group of people (usually leaders in power that are beholden to the protesters). If you are American and protesting US military support for Israel based on the conflict in Gaza, there are practical, material, direct cause-and-effect reasons to make that argument towards your elected representatives; the same is simply not true for the Iran situation (which the majority of the US government is already aligned with bombing yet again).

        It's just such a strange point of view to interpret lack of action on a particular issue as tacit support.

      • gambutin 1 hour ago
        You mean like the US regime changes in Germany and Japan 1945? Those ones were really bad for the local population!
        • dataflow 1 hour ago
          "Regime change" here refers to coup d'états. Meanwhile those were declared(!) wars. In response to existing wars dragging the US into them. Involving countries that were in very different places both politically and geographically.

          A coup is... not even remotely the same thing. How many coups do you know of that helped the local population?

        • Yasuraka 1 hour ago
          Notice how those are the only two good examples out of a long, long list, before those but especially after.
        • weakfish 1 hour ago
          That was 81 years ago. Iraq was 20. You’re either being willfully obtuse or don’t believe recency is more indicative.
          • gambutin 1 hour ago
            I am saying external regime change = bad is not true. Only if you want it to be true - for your narrative.

            Then you will say things like: but it was 80 years ago!!

            • weakfish 55 minutes ago
              Well of course it’s not black or white, it’s nuanced as everything in life is.

              But my larger point is that I don’t trust the current US administration to engage in regime change in a beneficial way as perhaps the US admin in 1945 did. You’re right that those examples and some others are good ones. But I believe the odds are that this situation would be one of the worse ones.

              Do I support the Iranian regime? Hell no! I just also don’t think the US invading is a solution that would bring long term peace and prosperity.

          • logicchains 1 hour ago
            Iraq now is a lot richer and freer than it was under Saddam Hussein.
            • don_esteban 53 minutes ago
              Is it richer than before western sanctions?

              It is always the same story: Look how poorly the regime manages the country!

              Never said: The country is under such sanctions/blockade that any western country would have already folded long ago.

              • Wytwwww 43 minutes ago
                That's very hard to answer considering Iraq spent most of the 80s in a very costly and extremely brutal (and even more pointless) war with Iraq.
              • inglor_cz 36 minutes ago
                "any western country would have already folded long ago"

                How do you know that? Is it just your general assumption "Westerners weak, must fold, third-worlders stronk, they endure"?

                Under what conditions would you say that sanctions are OK? Or are they never? In that case, there still might be white minority rule in Rhodesia or South Africa.

    • mvdtnz 55 minutes ago
      Islamism is the true Persian culture.
      • Rover222 48 minutes ago
        Nah, that's Muslim colonizing. Look up Zoroastrianism.
    • regularization 1 hour ago
      The US just helped overthrow, with US troops on the ground, a secular government in Syria, to replace it with an al Qaeda leader who was on the US wanted terrorist list until two months ago. What are you talking about, the US has supported Islamic fundamentalists for decades.
      • apical_dendrite 1 hour ago
        I believe you're referring to Syria, not Iran. And I don't think you're describing the situation accurately at all. The Syrian civil war is incredibly complex, and there are many parties involved. The groups that led the offensive were supported by Turkey at various points, but not by the United States. US forces in Syria didn't really have much to do with that offensive.
        • don_esteban 1 hour ago
          Read a bit more about the fall of shah in Iran.

          At that time, there were two strong anti-shah factions in Iran. Islamists and communists. Guess which one was helped by USA? :-)

          • apical_dendrite 36 minutes ago
            I've actually read quite a lot about the fall of the shah and what you are saying is bullshit. See, for instance, Scott Anderson's recent book King of Kings which goes into a great deal of detail about the US government's understanding and decision-making during the Iranian Revolution.
      • Rover222 1 hour ago
        Well that's quite delusional of you.
      • baxtr 1 hour ago
        Wait what?
        • tolerance 1 hour ago
          I think he meant Syria. And the more cogent interpretation is that the US has supported parties who perform as Islamic fundamentalists than they do actual ‘fundamentalists’.
  • tachalorah 1 hour ago
    CIA and Mossad with their usual hobby.
    • CommanderData 37 minutes ago
      Israel wants Iran destroyed so badly, interesting it suddenly loves Iranians now after it bombed them indiscriminately killing many civilians just last year.

      HN'ers hopefully arent stupid to fall for obvious propaganda?